Premier League scenarios, table, finals, how Manchester City and Arsenal win the title, race for Europe, Manchester United, latest, updates

VaselineMay 13, 2024

2 6 minutes read

Premier League scenarios, table, finals, how Manchester City and Arsenal win the title, race for Europe, Manchester United, latest, updates

The Premier League finish line is in sight, but we’re no closer to finding out who will claim the league title as five teams jostle for position in European football’s pursuit next season.

Liverpool have crashed out of the title race, leaving Arsenal and Manchester City in a two-horse race that will go down to the final matchday.

Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham will also have a say in the battle between Arsenal and City for top spot as they bid to overtake Aston Villa and secure Champions League football for next season.

Tottenham are also locked in a wild four-way battle for Europa League and Europa Conference League qualification.

Foxsports.com.au breaks down EVERY scenario regarding the title race and European places… along with the completely unthinkable relegation scenario.

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TITLE RACE

1: Arsenal (P37, 86 points, +61)

The remaining fixings: Everton (h)

the 2nd: Manchester City (P36, 85 points, +58)

Remaining fasteners: Tottenham (a), West Ham United (h)

Well, isn’t that a bit exciting?

Both teams hung around for so long last season before Arsenal ran out of gas as Manchester City claimed their third straight league title.

But Mikel Arteta’s side now know what it takes to be a genuine title contender and remain firmly in the mix with a one-point buffer going into the final game.

With a slightly superior goal difference and unique points advantage, the title is Arsenal’s to lose at the moment.

However, Manchester City have that all-important game in hand, while Arsenal are praying their rivals Tottenham can get a result against Pep Guardiola’s side.

City’s result against Spurs on Wednesday morning (AEST) is sure to set the mood around the title race as both title contenders enjoy home games to end the season.

Arsenal have not won a Premier League title for a decade. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)Source: Getty Images

How Arsenal won the title

– Arsenal beat Everton; Manchester City beat Tottenham to draw with West Ham (Miscellaneous)

– Arsenal tied with Everton; Manchester City draw with Tottenham and West Ham

– Arsenal tied with Everton; Manchester City lose to Tottenham and draw with West Ham (Miscellaneous)

– Arsenal lose with Everton; Manchester City lose to Tottenham and West Ham

How Manchester City won the title

– Arsenal beat Everton; Manchester City beat Tottenham and West Ham

– Arsenal tied with Everton; Manchester City beat Tottenham to draw with West Ham (Miscellaneous)

– Arsenal tied with Everton; Manchester City lose to Tottenham and beat West Ham (Miscellaneous)

– Arsenal lose with Everton; Manchester City draw with Tottenham and West Ham

– Arsenal lose with Everton; Manchester City beat Tottenham and beat/draw/lose with West Ham

Manchester City are aiming to win their fourth consecutive Premier League title. (Photo by Adrian DENNIS / AFP)Source: AFP

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

the 4th: Aston Villa (P36, 67 points, +20)

Remaining fasteners: Liverpool (h), Crystal Palace (a)

the 5th: Tottenham Hotspur (P36, 63 points, +12)

Remaining fasteners: Manchester City (h), Sheffield United (a)

To most neutral observers, Aston Villa emerged as the surprise package of the season, but the rise of the Midlands club is one that fans will have seen coming.

Since Emery took over last year, Villa have become a fearsome outfit and they have continued the momentum this season despite losing star duo Tyrone Mings and Emi Buendia before the start of the season.

However, a lack of depth, several injuries to key players and a run to the Europa Conference League semi-finals have Emery’s men running on empty and stumbling over the finish line.

Tottenham have also suffered a major wobble of late, losing four games in a row to give Villa a leg up in the race for the final Champions League spot.

A vital win against Burnley interrupted that run, but a daunting challenge awaits them against Manchester City, who have title ambitions of their own.

Champions League qualification would cap an outstanding debut season for Ange Postecoglou as Premier League boss, but could it be a bridge too far?

Unai Emery has overseen a remarkable season as Aston Villa manager. (Photo by Glyn KIRK / AFP)Source: AFP

How Aston Villa secure a place in the Champions League

– Aston Villa beat Liverpool, all other results irrelevant

– Tottenham lose to Manchester City or Sheffield United

– Aston Villa draws with Liverpool and loses with Crystal Palace (various); Tottenham beat Manchester City and draw with Sheffield United (Miscellaneous)

– Aston Villa draws with Liverpool and loses with Crystal Palace (various); Tottenham beat Manchester City and lost to Sheffield United (Miscellaneous)

– Aston Villa lose to Liverpool and Crystal Palace; Tottenham beat Manchester City and draw with Sheffield United (Miscellaneous)

– Aston Villa lose to Liverpool and Crystal Palace; Tottenham level with Manchester City and Sheffield United

– Aston Villa lose to Liverpool and beat Crystal Palace; Tottenham’s result is irrelevant

How Tottenham secure a place in the Champions League

– Tottenham must beat both Manchester City and Sheffield United

– Aston Villa can’t win any of their games against Liverpool and Sheffield United

– Aston Villa lose to Liverpool and draw with Crystal Palace (various); Tottenham beat Manchester City and Sheffield United

Postecoglou needs favors from Liverpool and Crystal Palace if Tottenham are to qualify for the Champions League. (Photo by Bryn Lennon/Getty Images)Source: Getty Images

THE STRUGGLE FOR EUROPE

the 5th: Tottenham Hotspur (P36, 63 points, +12)

Remaining fasteners: Manchester City (h), Sheffield United (a)

the 6th: Newcastle (P36, 57 points, +22)

Remaining fasteners: Manchester United (a), Brentford (a)

the 7th: Chelsea (P36, 57 points, +12)

Remaining fasteners: Brighton (a), Bournemouth (h)

the 8th: Manchester United (P36, 54 points, -14)

Remaining fasteners: Newcastle (h), Brighton (a)

OK, this is where things get pretty complicated, so bear with us.

Currently, fifth place receives direct entry into the Europa League, while sixth qualifies for the Europa Conference League play-offs, while the other Europa League spot goes to the winner of the FA Cup Final.

Just like last year, the FA Cup final is contested between Manchester City and Manchester United.

City have already qualified for the Champions League, meaning that if they win the FA Cup final, the Europa League spot goes to the sixth-placed team, allowing the seventh-placed team a place in the Europa Conference League.

That is why it is in the interests of Newcastle and Chelsea that Pep Guardiola’s side win back-to-back FA Cup trophies.

As for United, they would like to avoid the scenario of needing to win the FA Cup final just to reach the Europa League, but finishing in the top six will prove extremely difficult.

All eyes on the battle for the top six will no doubt be on Old Trafford on Thursday as United host Newcastle in a clash that has significant permutations in the race for Europe.

With Manchester United set to qualify for the Europa League if they win the FA Cup final, let’s break down all the scenarios should they lose the final.

Chelsea found their form at the right time. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)Source: Getty Images

How Tottenham secure a place in the Europa League

– Tottenham equal to Manchester City or Sheffield United; all other results irrelevant

– Newcastle and Chelsea fail to win any of their last games

How Newcastle secure a place in the Europa League

– Newcastle beat Manchester United and Brentford; all other results irrelevant

– Newcastle beat Manchester United; Chelsea lose to either Brighton or Bournemouth

– Chelsea fail to match Newcastle’s points

– Newcastle lose to Manchester United and Brentford; Chelsea lose to Brighton and Bournemouth, Manchester United beat Newcastle and lose to Brighton

How Chelsea secure a place in the Europa League

– Chelsea beat Brighton and Bournemouth; Newcastle beat Manchester United to draw with Brentford (Miscellaneous)

– Chelsea beat Brighton and draw with Bournemouth (various); Newcastle beat Manchester United and lost to Brentford (Miscellaneous)

– Chelsea draw with Brighton and Bournemouth; Newcastle lose to Manchester United and draw with Brentford (various), Manchester United draw or lose against Brighton

– Chelsea draws with Brighton and loses with Bournemouth (various); Newcastle lose to Manchester United and Brentford, Manchester United beat Newcastle and draw/lose against Brighton

How Manchester United secure a place in the Europa League

– Manchester United must beat Newcastle, a draw will not be enough in any scenario

– Chelsea and Newcastle must lose both their matches

– Manchester United beat Newcastle and draw with Brighton; Newcastle and Chelsea lose both their matches

– Manchester United beat Newcastle and Brighton; Newcastle drew the last match and Chelsea take a point from the last two games

Erik ten Hag has overseen one of Manchester United’s bleakest seasons in recent memory. (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)Source: Getty Images

BONKERS SCENARIO FOR RELEGATION IN CHAP

Burnley and Sheffield United are immediately back in the Championship and Luton Town are all but confirmed to join them.

But it has not yet been mathematically confirmed.

So how can the Hatters pull off a FIFA-like miracle to stay in the Premier League?

Luton currently have 26 points with a goal difference of -31, while Nottingham Forest are in 17th place with 29 points and a goal difference of -19.

If Luton are to survive, they need to beat Fulham on the final day of the season, hope Nottingham Forest lose to Burnley and, somewhere in the middle of the madness, have a 12-goal swing.

It is extremely unlikely, but it ain’t over till it’s over.

VaselineMay 13, 2024
2 6 minutes read

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