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XAG/USD consolidates below $30 as investors await Fed minutes

  • Silver price is trading sideways below $30.00 with FOMC minutes in focus.
  • US dollar and bond yields remain on a bearish trajectory on Fed rate cut optimism.
  • Fed Powell’s speech at the JH symposium will be the key event this week.

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading in a tight range below the $30.00 psychological resistance as investors focus on the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) July monetary policy minutes due at 6 p.m. :00 GMT.

Investors await the release of the FOMC minutes as it will provide fresh clues about the interest rate path this year. At its July meeting, the Fed left interest rates unchanged in the 5.25%-5.50% range, but assured that policymakers were prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy if risks emerged that could delay the achievement of banks’ targets , such as inflation at 2% along with maintaining full employment.

Ahead of the FOMC minutes, the US dollar (USD) underperforms and remains near seven-month lows. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, is near 101.40. US 10-year Treasury yields fall to nearly 3.80%. Lower yields on interest-bearing assets reduce the opportunity cost of holding an investment in non-yielding assets such as silver.

This week, the US dollar is expected to remain volatile as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium (JH) on Friday. Fed Powell would indicate how much the central bank might cut interest rates this year.

Silver Technical Analysis

Silver price is offering a bullish reversal as a decisive break above the August 2 high of $29.20 has shaken the low, high, low formation on the four-hour time frame. An upwardly sloping 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) near $29.20 is expected to act as a cushion for silver price bulls.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is falling to near 60.00, suggesting that the bullish momentum is over for now. However, the uptrend remains intact.

The silver four-hour chart

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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