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Vice Governor Banxico Mejia advocates gradual reductions – MNI

Banxico Vice Governor Omar Mejia Castelazo said the central bank must reduce borrowing costs because higher rates could cause distortions in markets and the economy, he said in an interview with Larissa Garcia of Market News International (MNI).

Mejia said it was “necessary to adjust the level of restriction” and added that the central bank would gradually lower rates as “the ongoing disinflationary process reduces the costs of restrictive monetary policy to the economy.”

Even though Banxico’s mandate is fixed on price stability, Mejia is showing signs of concern about economic activity. He said that β€œthe risk of weak activity is already materializing. We’ve had three quarters of below-forecast growth. I had already seen this coming, which is why my vote was at odds with the interest rate cut in June.”

In its latest monetary policy decision, Banxico cut key benchmark rates by 25 basis points (bps) in a split 3-2 vote. Governor Rodriguez and Deputy Governors Galia Borja and Omar Mejia favored a reduction, unlike Lieutenant Governors Irene Espinosa and Jonathan Heath.

Most bank analysts expect Banxico to cut interest rates by at least 50 basis points (bps) for the remainder of 2024.

Asked about the upcoming September meeting, he commented that the bank is considering several factors, while acknowledging that services inflation remains firmer than expected. Mehia added that “Some components of services inflation have shown greater persistence due to the lagged effects of pandemic-related shocks.”

Frequently asked questions about Banxico

The Bank of Mexico, also known as Banxico, is the country’s central bank. Its mission is to preserve the value of Mexico’s currency, the Mexican peso (MXN), and to set monetary policy. To that end, its main objective is to keep inflation low and stable within target levels – at or near its 3% target, the midpoint in a tolerance band of 2% to 4%.

Banxico’s main tool for guiding monetary policy is setting interest rates. When inflation is above target, the bank will try to tame it by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for households and businesses to borrow money and thus cooling the economy. Higher interest rates are generally positive for the Mexican peso (MXN) as they lead to higher yields, making the country a more attractive place for investors. Conversely, lower interest rates tend to weaken the MXN. The USD rate differential, or how Banxico is expected to set interest rates compared to the US Federal Reserve (Fed), is a key factor.

Banxico meets eight times a year, and its monetary policy is heavily influenced by the decisions of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Therefore, the central bank’s decision-making committee usually meets a week after the Fed. In doing so, Banxico reacts to and sometimes anticipates the monetary policy measures set by the Federal Reserve. For example, after the Covid-19 pandemic, before the Fed raised rates, Banxico did so first in an attempt to lessen the chances of a substantial depreciation of the Mexican peso (MXN) and prevent potentially destabilizing capital outflows country.

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