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Did you forget the 4% rule? Here’s what you should really be looking at in retirement.

Relying on this popular guide could cost you thousands of dollars in the long run.

Everyone’s retirement is different, but we all have a common goal: to make sure our retirement savings last long enough.

The 4% rule is arguably the basic guideline for determining how quickly you can spend your savings. It states that a retiree can withdraw 4% of the initial value of their nest egg annually, adjusted for inflation. In other words, someone retiring with $1 million would withdraw $40,000 annually, increasing it slightly each year to adjust for inflation.

It’s a good starting point for developing some basic frameworks, but it’s not a retirement plan. The problem with painting with broad strokes is that you’ll never fill in the finer details.

There are some considerations when applying the 4% rule and some essential tips to ensure you have the right plan for your needs. Here’s what you need to know.

Aged pensioner.

Image source: Getty Images.

The 4% rule has some problems

I’m not picking on the 4% rule, but people shouldn’t use it to plan their retirement finances. It’s a guide, not an A to Z plan. Here are some potential problems with the 4% rule:

It does not account for market volatility

One of the biggest problems with the 4% rule is that it doesn’t account for the market volatility you might face. The stock market has historically averaged 8% to 10% annual returns, but these year-to-year fluctuations could rise or fall by 20% to 30% in a given year.

Let’s say something happens and your nest egg takes a big hit the year you retire or shortly thereafter; mathematically, you will deplete your savings faster. Luck plays a role in investing, which the 4% rule doesn’t really take into account.

Some living expenses could inflate faster

Housing and healthcare are big living expenses for most retirees. Both have increased since the pandemic, and projecting what those costs might look like years later in life is challenging.

Unfortunately, America’s rising debt levels mean that future retirees, especially those decades away from retirement, should not assume that welfare programs like Medicare will cover as much as they currently do. Whether it’s healthcare, food, transportation or housing, essential living expenses could realistically exceed the 4% rule.

It is not specific to you

Finally, 4% is a general guideline, not tailored to your financial situation. The typical American worker retires between the ages of 63 and 65 with an average of $200,000. You may have saved more or less, or retired earlier or later than average.

You can get away with sloppy retirement planning early, but you could be in big trouble if your savings dry up years later when you’re too old to work. Plus, you don’t want to run out and save your whole life only to leave a lot of money on the table because you lived too conservatively.

Long term piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images.

Consider these potential changes

The 4% rule gives you a basic idea of ​​your retirement lifestyle, but you shouldn’t stop there. Consider these additional tips to help you live the best retirement possible.

Rate your timeline

The 4% rule aims to stretch savings for at least 30 years. However, the math may not add up. The average life expectancy in the US is 77 years. In other words, the average person lives about 12 to 14 years after retirement. The 4% rule might be too conservative if you don’t retire early. Consider building a retirement plan with multiple time frames in mind. You want to know that your savings will last without restricting your lifestyle too much to the point where it affects your quality of life.

Review your investment strategy

Many people retire with less than they had hoped for. However, your savings don’t stop growing once you retire. You could help your portfolio grow through retirement by adjusting your investment strategy. The 4% rule assumes a portfolio consisting of 60% stocks and 40% bonds. You should never take more risk than you’re comfortable with, but getting a little more aggressive could make a big difference in your retirement portfolio in the 10+ years after you stop working.

Consider dynamic expenses

Finally, the 4% rule assumes you’ll withdraw roughly the same amount each year from your savings. As mentioned before, a market downturn could disrupt your retirement plans. If your finances allow, consider a dynamic system where you withdraw smaller amounts when the market is down and larger amounts when it’s up. That could mean some simple lifestyle choices, like saving that big vacation for when the market has a good year or stretching that old car a little more. These small changes could add years to your egg.

Do you have questions? Consult the professionals

Retirement planning is a complex subject. If you have questions or feel overwhelmed by the process, don’t hesitate to consult a professional advisor. While it will cost you some money to get professional advice, the benefits of an effective retirement plan will far outweigh it.

Retirement planning is the financial foundation for a good part of your life. Skimping on preparation or taking retirement easy only hurts and can cost you thousands of dollars in fees and opportunity costs. Knock your retirement plan out of the park by going beyond the 4% rule.

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