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WTI hovers around $68.00 due to supply disruptions from Tropical Storm Francine

  • The WTI price is holding its position due to the shutdown of operations at Brownsville and other smaller ports in Texas on Monday.
  • Data from the National Hurricane Center indicates that at least 125,000 barrels per day of oil production is at risk of disruption.
  • Speakers at the APPEC conference noted that China’s sluggish economy is slowing oil demand growth.

The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude remained steady at around $68.00 per barrel during the Asian trading session on Tuesday. Crude oil prices are supported by supply disruptions caused by Tropical Storm Francine. According to a note from ANZ analysts, citing data from the National Hurricane Center (NHC), “At least 125,000 barrels per day (bpd) of oil production is at risk of disruption.”

The US Coast Guard ordered the closure of all operations at Brownsville and other smaller ports in Texas late Monday as Tropical Storm Francine moved through the Gulf of Mexico. While the Port of Corpus Christi remained open, it operated under restrictions, according to Reuters.

Tropical Storm Francine is expected to strengthen into the fourth hurricane of the Atlantic season, which ends on November 30. The National Hurricane Center predicts that Francine could strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane with winds of up to 85 mph (137 km/h) before making landfall on the Louisiana coast by Wednesday evening.

Reuters reported that global commodities traders Gunvor and Trafigura expect oil prices to hover between $60 and $70 a barrel on weak Chinese demand and global oversupply. China’s transition to low-carbon fuels combined with a sluggish economy is slowing oil demand growth in the world’s biggest crude importer, according to speakers at the APPEC conference on Monday.

Frequently asked questions about WTI oil

WTI Oil is a type of crude oil sold on international markets. WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types, including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” due to its relatively low gravity and sulfur content, respectively. It is considered a high quality oil that is easy to refine. It originates in the United States and is distributed through the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a reference point for the oil market and the price of WTI is frequently quoted in the media.

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of the WTI oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars and sanctions can disrupt supply and affect prices. Decisions by OPEC, a group of major oil-producing countries, is another key price driver. The value of the US dollar influences the price of WTI crude oil because oil is predominantly traded in US dollars, so a weaker US dollar can make oil more affordable and vice versa.

The weekly oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) influence the price of WTI oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuations in supply and demand. If the data shows a decline in inventories, it may indicate an increase in demand, leading to higher oil prices. Higher inventories may reflect increased supply, pushing prices lower. The API report is published every Tuesday and the EIA the following day. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. EIM data is considered more reliable because it is a government agency.

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 13 oil-producing nations that collectively decide production quotas for member countries when they meet twice a year. Their decisions often affect WTI oil prices. When OPEC decides to cut quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten additional non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

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