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WTI holds near $66.50 as demand concerns offset Hurricane Francine impact

  • WTI prices remain steady as demand concerns offset the potential impact of Hurricane Francine on US oil production.
  • Oil demand is being challenged by the growing adoption of electric vehicles in key markets such as China.
  • EIA crude oil inventories rose by 0.833 million barrels in the previous week, compared with an expected increase of 0.9 million barrels.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices remained steady, hovering around $66.80 a barrel during the Asian session on Thursday. Concerns about weakened demand offset the impact of Hurricane Francine on oil production in the United States (US), the world’s largest crude producer.

In particular, oil demand in key markets such as China is under pressure, with the increasing adoption of electric vehicles reducing oil consumption.

Energy production in the US Gulf of Mexico was partially disrupted on Wednesday and several oil refineries in Louisiana reduced operations ahead of Hurricane Francine’s landfall, according to official reports cited by Reuters.

U.S. oil inventories rose broadly last week as crude imports rose and exports fell, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday. The report also showed that demand for gasoline fell to its lowest level since May, while demand for distillate fuel also fell, along with a drop in refinery activity.

Despite a smaller-than-expected increase in inventories, crude oil prices remained subdued. EIA data showed that crude oil inventories rose by 0.833 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 6, just short of the expected increase of 0.9 million barrels.

Earlier in the week, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cut its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024, marking its second consecutive downward revision. OPEC also lowered its demand expectations for next year.

Oil traders are now anticipating the release of the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) monthly market report later this week for signs of a softening demand outlook, according to a note from ANZ Research on Thursday.

Frequently asked questions about WTI oil

WTI Oil is a type of crude oil sold on international markets. WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types, including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” due to its relatively low gravity and sulfur content, respectively. It is considered a high quality oil that is easy to refine. It originates in the United States and is distributed through the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a reference point for the oil market and the price of WTI is frequently quoted in the media.

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of the WTI oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars and sanctions can disrupt supply and affect prices. Decisions by OPEC, a group of major oil-producing countries, is another key price driver. The value of the US dollar influences the price of WTI crude oil because oil is predominantly traded in US dollars, so a weaker US dollar can make oil more affordable and vice versa.

The weekly oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) influence the price of WTI oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuations in supply and demand. If the data shows a decline in inventories, it may indicate an increase in demand, leading to higher oil prices. Higher inventories may reflect increased supply, pushing prices down. The API report is published every Tuesday and the EIA the following day. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. EIM data is considered more reliable because it is a government agency.

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 13 oil-producing nations that collectively decide production quotas for member countries when they meet twice a year. Their decisions often affect WTI oil prices. When OPEC decides to cut quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten additional non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

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