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XAG/USD consolidates below $31.00, bullish potential appears intact

  • Silver is struggling to gain any significant traction and is oscillating in a range on Tuesday.
  • The technical setup favors bullish traders and supports the outlook for further gains.
  • Any significant drop could be seen as a buying opportunity and remains limited.

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading in a positive trend around the $30.80-$30.85 area during the Asian session on Tuesday and is within striking distance of a two-month peak reached the previous day.

Technically, Friday’s convincing break through the $30.00 psychological barrier, which coincided with a short-term downtrend line, was seen as a new trigger for bullish traders. Moreover, the oscillators on the daily chart have just started to gain positive traction and support prospects for a new short-term appreciation move for XAG/USD.

Acceptance above the $31.00 threshold will reaffirm the constructive outlook and lift the white metal to the next relevant hurdle near the $31.45-$31.50 supply zone. Some further buying should allow the bulls to target back to recover the $32.00 mark. Momentum should allow XAG/USD to aim back to challenge a decade high around the mid-$32.00s reached in May.

On the other hand, any significant corrective slide below the immediate support of $30.50 is likely to attract new buyers and remain cushioned near the above mentioned downtrend line resistance break, now turned into support, near the threshold of $30.00. The latter could act as a key pivot point which, if broken, could trigger some technical selling and make XAG/USD vulnerable.

Further decline could be extended to the intermediate support of $29.40-$29.35 en route to the $29.00 round figure. Some further selling could pull XAG/USD to the next relevant support near the $28.20-$28.15 area. This is followed by the $28.00 threshold and the monthly low around the $27.70 area, which, if broken, could shift the trend back in favor of bear traders.

XAG/USD Daily Chart

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Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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