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EUR/GBP falls to near 0.8350 following UK Eurozone PMI data

  • EUR/GBP continues to lose ground following weaker than expected PMI data from both economies.
  • UK manufacturing PMI fell to 51.5 in September from 52.5 in August, missing market expectations of 52.3.
  • Eurozone HCOB composite PMI fell to 48.9 in September, down from 51.0 in August and marking an eight-month low.

EUR/GBP extends its winning streak for a fourth straight day after weaker-than-expected Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data from both the Eurozone and the United Kingdom (UK). EUR/GBP is trading around 0.8360 during European hours on Monday.

The preliminary S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 51.5 in September from 52.5 in August, missing market expectations of 52.3. Similarly, the services PMI fell to 52.8 in September from 53.7 in August, also below the market forecast of 53.5.

Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence said: “A slight slowdown in output growth in the manufacturing and services sector in September should not be considered too concerning.”

In the euro area, the HCOB PMI composite fell to 48.9 in September, down from 51.0 in August and well below the expected 50.6, marking an eight-month low. The services PMI fell sharply to 50.5 from 52.9 in August, significantly underperforming market forecasts of 52.4 and hitting a seven-month low. Meanwhile, the PMI for manufacturing fell further, falling from 45.8 in August to 44.8 in September, missing the expected level of 45.6 and hitting a nine-month low.

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said on Friday that monetary policy must remain adaptable in an ever-evolving world. Although the basic objectives of monetary policy, especially price stability, remain the same, central banks must retain flexibility to meet the challenges of a rapidly changing global economy, according to Euronews.

Economic indicator

S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), published monthly by both the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply and S&P Global, is a leading indicator that assesses business activity in the UK manufacturing sector. The data is derived from surveys of CEOs of private sector companies. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and may anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index ranges between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change from the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the British pound (GBP). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity among goods producers is broadly down, which is seen as bearish for the GBP.

Read more.

Latest release: Monday, September 23, 2024 08:30 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Real: 51.5

Consensus: 52.3

Previous: 52.5

Source: S&P Global

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