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XAG/USD recovers the $31.00 mark, looks poised to move higher

  • Silver draws buyers on Tuesday and returns closer to a more than two-month high.
  • The setup favors bullish traders and supports the outlook for a new appreciation move.
  • Any dip towards $30.00 could be seen as a buying opportunity and remains limited.

Silver (XAG/USD) is regaining positive traction after the previous day’s modest decline and climbing back above the $31.00 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday. The white metal, however, remains below the $31.45 area, or the July 17 high reached last week, although the technical setup looks firmly tilted in favor of bullish traders.

The recent breakout through a near-term downtrend line, along with the oscillators on the daily chart gaining positive traction, validates the positive outlook for XAG/USD. Therefore, further strength beyond the monthly peak around the $31.45 region en route to the July swing high around the $31.75 area seems a distinct possibility.

XAG/USD could then look to recover the $32.00 mark and extend the momentum further to challenge a decade high around the mid-$32.00 reached in May.

On the other hand, the $30.70-$30.65 area now appears to protect the immediate downside ahead of the overnight swing low around the $30.35 region. Any further decline towards the psychological $30.00 mark could still be seen as a buying opportunity. This, in turn, should cap the downside near the breakout point of the aforementioned trendline resistance around the $29.40-$29.35 region.

The said trend line now coincides with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and is currently fixed near the $29.00 threshold, which should act as a key pivotal point. A convincing break below the latter could turn the trend in favor of bear traders and pave the way for a significant corrective move lower for XAG/USD.

Silver daily chart

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Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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