close
close
migores1

XAG/USD is moving below $32.00 on concerns about China’s stimulus measures

  • The price of silver lost ground amid concerns that China’s stimulus plans will be enough to boost demand.
  • The PBOC cut the reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points and the seven-day repo rate from 1.7% to 1.5%.
  • Silver-haven could regain ground due to rising tensions in the Middle East.

The price of silver (XAG/USD) is retracing recent gains from the previous session, trading around $31.80 during European hours on Wednesday. Prices of the gray metal depreciated as traders reassessed the effectiveness of China’s stimulus plans to significantly boost its economy, the world’s largest metal market.

Silver metal is vital to various industrial sectors such as electronics, solar panels and automotive components. As one of the largest production centers in the world, China’s industrial demand for silver plays a significant role in driving global consumption of this precious metal.

On Tuesday, People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Governor Pan Gongsheng announced that China will cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points (bps). Gongsheng also noted that the central bank will cut the seven-day repo rate from 1.7% to 1.5% and cut the down payment for secondary houses from 25% to 15%.

However, JP Morgan in a note advised investors to monitor commodity and bond yields in light of the positive market outlook following China’s stimulus proposals on Tuesday. The bank pointed out that global growth has received a new boost from China, a factor that has been missing in recent years. This development significantly reduces the risk of recession and is seen as favorable for the markets. However, JP Morgan also warned of the potential risk of re-inflation.

Downside risk for haven silver may be limited due to rising tensions in the Middle East. An Israeli airstrike on Beirut killed a senior Hezbollah commander on Tuesday, raising fears of a potential full-scale war as cross-border rocket attacks intensified. Hezbollah confirmed on Wednesday that its top commander Ibrahim Qubaisi was killed in Israeli airstrikes on the Lebanese capital, as previously reported by Israel, according to Reuters.

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

Related Articles

Back to top button