2019 general election results for seats in and around Bristol

As the nation heads to the polls in a few weeks, many voters will be looking at the results one last time to gauge how much of a chance each party has in their area. In 2019, constituencies in and around Bristol were split between Labor and the Conservatives.

Based on the results of the last general election, in some areas Labor will be favored and retain their seats, while in others they face a tighter race. But a lot has changed in the last five years, which means these results aren’t a perfect indicator of what might happen on July 4th.

Recent boundary changes also mean that the areas covered by parliamentary constituencies in 2019 will not exactly match this year’s constituencies. This after population changes caused seat boundaries to be redrawn so that each MP represents roughly the same number of people.

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Bristol East

Bristol East included Fishponds, St Anne’s, Eastville, St George, Stockwood and Brislington. The seat has been held by Labor since 1992, but was previously represented by a Conservative MP from 1983 to 1992. Kerry McCarthy has been an MP since 2005.

Last time, in 2019, she won with a majority of more than 10,000 and a 20-point lead over the second-placed Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats came in third, followed by the Greens and then the Brexit Party.

The results were: Labor, 27,717 votes, 53.1 percent; Conservatives, 16,923 votes, 32.4 percent; Liberal Democrat, 3,527 votes, 6.8 per cent; Greens, 2,106 votes, four percent; Brexit Party, 1,881 votes, 3.6%.

Due to the boundary changes, Bristol East will gain Easton, Lawrence Hill and Knowle and lose Eastville, Frome Vale and Hillfields, which will become part of the new Bristol North East constituency.

Bristol West

Bristol West included the central and western parts of the city such as Bishopston, Clifton, Cotham and Redland. The seat has only been held by Labor MP Thangam Debbonaire since 2015. The Liberal Democrats held the seat from 2005 to 2015 and Labor from 1997 to 2005. Prior to 1997, when Tony Blair was elected Prime Minister, the seat was always owned by the Conservatives.

In the last general election, Labor won with a majority of more than 28,000 and a 47-point lead over the second-placed Greens. The Conservatives took third place, followed by the Brexit Party.

The results were: Labor, 47,028 votes, 62.3 percent; Greens, 18,809 votes, 24.9 percent; Conservatives, 8,822 votes, 11.7 percent; Brexit Party, 869 votes, 1.2%.

Due to boundary changes, Bristol West will be renamed Bristol Central, losing Bishopston, Ashley Down, Lawrence Hill and Easton. This seat is a major national target for the Greens.

Bristol South

Bristol South includes Bedminster, Bishopsworth, Filwood, Hartcliffe, Southville and Windmill Hill. The seat has been held by Labor since 1935 and by Karin Smyth since 2015.

Last time she won with a majority of almost 10,000 and an 18-point lead over the second-placed Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats came in third, followed by the Greens and then the Brexit Party.

The results were: Labor, 27,895 votes, 50.5 percent; Conservatives, 18,036 votes, 32.7 percent; Liberal Democrats, 4,227 votes, 7.7 percent; Greens, 2,713 votes, 4.9 percent; Brexit Party, 2,325 votes, 4.2%. Due to the boundary changes, the seat will lose Knowle, which will be moved to Bristol East.

Bristol North West

Bristol North West includes Lawrence Weston, Southmead, Westbury-on-Trym and Stoke Bishop, a contrasting array of poorer and wealthier areas. The seat has always swung between Labor and the Conservatives, with Labor MP Darren Jones representing the constituency since 2017.

In the last general election, Labor won by a slim majority of 5,700 and just a 10-point lead over the Conservatives. Liberal Democrats came in third place, followed by the Greens.

The results were: Labour, 27,330 votes, 48.9 percent; Conservatives, 21,638 votes, 38.7 percent; Liberal Democrats, 4,940 votes, 8.8 percent; Heather Mack, 1,977 votes, 3.5 percent. Due to boundary changes, the seat will gain Bishopston and Ashley Down but lose Lockleaze.

Kingswood

Kingswood included Bitton, Oldland Common, Hanham, New Cheltenham, Longwell Green and Warmley. The constituency has always oscillated between Labor and the Conservatives. Labor has held the seat since February earlier this year, when Damien Egan won a by-election triggered by the resignation of Tory MP Chris Skidmore, who is protesting against new oil and gas licences.

In February’s by-election, Labor won with a slim majority of 2,500 and a 10-point lead over the Conservatives. Reform came third, followed by the Greens, Liberal Democrats and then UKIP.

The results were: Labour, 11,176 votes, 44.9 percent; Conservatives, 8,675 votes, 34.9 percent; Reform, 2,578, 10.4 percent; Greens, 1,459 votes, 5.8 percent; Liberal Democrat, 861 votes, 3.5 percent; UKIP, 129 votes, 0.5 per cent.

In the last general election, the Conservatives won with a majority of over 11,000 and a 22 point lead over Labour. In third place were the Liberal Democrats, followed by the Greens and then the Animal Protection party.

The results were: conservatives, 27,712 votes, 56.2 percent; Labor, 16,492 votes, 33.4 percent; Liberal Democrat, 3,421 votes; 6.9 percent; Green, 1,200 votes, 2.4 percent; Animal welfare, 489 votes, one percent.

The Kingswood constituency will be abolished at the general election, with parts going to Bristol North East, Filton and Bradley Stoke and North East Somerset and Hanham.

Filton and Bradley Stoke

The seat of Filton and Bradley Stoke includes Almondsbury, Downend, Patchway, Stoke Gifford and Winterbourne. The seat has been held by Tory MP Jack Lopresti since its creation in 2010. At the last general election, he won by a slim majority of 5,600 and a 10-point lead over Labour. Liberal Democrats took third place, followed by the Greens.

The results were: conservatives, 26,293 votes, 48.9 percent; Labour, 20,647 votes, 38.4 percent; Liberal Democrat, 4,992 votes, 9.3 per cent; Greens, 1,563 votes, 2.9 percent; Citizens’ Movement, 1,563 votes, 2.9 percent. Due to boundary changes, the seat will gain Emersons Green and lose Severn Beach, Staple Hill and Mangotsfield.

Thornbury and Yate

The seat of Thornbury and Yate includes Chipping Sodbury, Charfield and Frampton Cotterell. The seat has been held by Conservative MP Luke Hall since 2015 and was previously represented by the Liberal Democrats. In the last general election, the Conservatives won with a majority of more than 12,000 and a 23-point lead over the Liberal Democrats. Labor came in third place.

The results were: conservatives, 30,202 votes, 57.8 percent; Liberal Democrats, 17,833 votes, 34.1 percent; Labor, 4,208 votes; 8.1 percent. Due to boundary changes, the seat will gain Severn Beach.