Gloria Farke, Rooney relief, Hull chance – AI predicts Leeds United’s 2024-25 Championship season

Leeds United are tipped to make amends for last season’s play-off final shock and earn an automatic promotion place in the Championship.

Daniel Farke and Co will spend the summer rebuilding the Whites squad, with some exits inevitable after finishing third last term and subsequent play-off defeat to Southampton. But United are tipped to avoid disappointment and go one better than last season, finishing second in the table behind predicted league winners Burnley.

Leeds managed an impressive 90 points last season, but it still wasn’t enough to pip Leicester City and Ipswich Town into the top two spots. However, while Grosvenor Sport SuperComputer predict they will get “only” 89 points this time around, that could be enough to finish comfortably ahead of third-placed Hull City.

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The Tigers, Michael Carrick’s Middlebrough, Watford and Norwich City – who Leeds beat in last season’s play-off semi-final – are tipped to make the top six. Newly promoted Luton Town and Sheffield United are well off the pace, while Wayne Rooney’s Plymouth survive by finishing fourth.

Oxford United are expected to go straight back into League One, along with Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City. SuperComputer is a probability model, not driven by human predictions or bias, that predicts the outcome of each match based on a team’s current strength, including factors such as league position and form and betting market odds. It then simulates the remaining games in a season 1,000 times and constructs an average league table from the 1,000 simulations to rule out outliers.

2024-25 predicted league table

• 1 Burnley 92 points
• 2 Leeds 89
• 3 Hull City 83
• 4 Middlesbrough 79
• 5 Watford 79
• 6 Norwich City 75
• 7 Coventry City 74
• 8 Luton Town 73
• 9 Sheffield Wednesday 73
• 10 Bristol City 66
• 11 Millwall 62
• 12 West Bromwich Albion 61
• 13 Queens Park Rangers 61
• 14 Stoke City 60
• 15 Swansea City 56
• 16 Portsmouth 56
• 17 Sheffield United 54
• 18 Preston NE 54
• 19 Sunderland 52
• 20 Derby Co 49
• 21 Plymouth 47
• 22 Blackburn 41
• 23 Cardiff City 39
• 24 Oxford United 37