Bristol region seats are in the forecast as exit polls suggest major changes are on the way

The Green Party is forecast to win Bristol Central, but Labor is poised to make gains elsewhere in the region as the party is on course for an anticipated landslide general election win. The Ipsos UK exit poll predicts Green Party co-leader Carla Denyer to win the newly created seat ahead of Labor MP Thangam Debbonaire.

However, the poll predicts Labor will win in other parts, including Filton and Bradley Stoke and Weston-super-Mare. According to the poll, the Lib Dems will also be elected in the Thornbury and Yate constituency.

Other places – such as key battleground Somerset North East & Hanham – are said to be “too close to call”. Jacob Rees Mogg for the Tories faces Dan Norris in the new constituency.

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Labor – which is predicted to take all other seats in Bristol – is expected to win the general election with a 170-seat majority. Sir Keir Starmer’s party is expected to have 410 MPs tonight, up 209 from the 2019 general election.

The Conservative Party is expected to lose 241 seats, down to 131. This would mean Labor wresting control from the Conservative Party for the first time since the 2010 general election.

Here’s a breakdown of the seats in our area from the Ipsos UK survey:

Bristol Central: ‘Probably Green Win’

Bristol North East: ‘Probably withholding labor’

Bristol North West: “Probably withholding labor”

Bristol East: ‘Probably withholding labor’

Bristol South: ‘Probable workforce retention’

And in the wider region:

Filton and Bradley Stoke: ‘Probably winning at work’

Thornbury and Yate: ‘Lib Dem likely to win’

North East Somerset and Hanham: ‘Too close to call’

North Somerset: ‘Too close to call’

Weston: “Possible job gain”

Bristol Central is largely made up of the old Bristol West constituency with some changes. Bristol West has been held by Labor since 2015, with incumbent MP Thangam Debbonaire running to keep his job and overcome a challenge from Green Party leader Carla Denyer.

Before she was first elected, the seat was held by Liberal Democrat MP Stephen Williams from 2005 to 2015. The Greens have now put a lot of resources into trying to overturn Labour’s huge majority of 28,000, and polls suggest that they might be able. to do it.

Important factors also include the recent local election results which saw the Greens become the largest party on Bristol City Council. Jacob Rees-Mogg spoke of a “terrible night” for the Tories in an interview with the BBC tonight (July 4), saying the Conservative Party had “no divine right to vote”.

His interview comes as the exit poll by Ipsos UK says the Somerset North East & Hanham constituency is “too close to call”. Jacob Rees Mogg for the Tories faces Dan Norris in the new constituency, which is a key battleground in the area.