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XAG/USD slips to $27.50 on reduced chances of deeper Fed rate cut

  • The price of silver falls as traders pull back on a deeper rate cut by the Fed in September.
  • CME’s FedWatch tool suggests the odds of a 50 basis point cut by the Fed in September have fallen to 50%.
  • Israeli forces continued their operations near the southern Gaza town of Khan Younis on Monday.

The price of silver (XAG/USD) is retracing recent gains from the previous session, trading around $27.70 during the Asian session on Tuesday. This downside could be attributed to diminished expectations for a 50 basis point interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in September.

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. According to CME’s FedWatch tool, the probability of a 50 basis point (bps) cut in September fell to 50%, down from 85% last week. However, rate markets continue to price in a 100% chance of at least a 25bps cut at the next meeting.

Traders are likely to focus on US producer inflation data due on Tuesday and consumer inflation figures on Wednesday, looking for confirmation that price increases remain steady in the United States (US).

The downside for safe-haven metals such as silver could be limited due to rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Israeli forces continued their operations near the southern Gaza town of Khan Younis on Monday. CBC News quoted Palestinian doctors as saying that Israeli military strikes on Khan Younis on Monday killed at least 18 people.

On Monday, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) intercepted around 30 “projectiles” passing from Lebanon into northern Israel on Monday morning. The IDF said some projectiles landed in open areas and no injuries were reported, as reported by ABC News.

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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