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Dow Jones Industrial Average extends recovery course on Monday

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 150 points in Monday’s offering.
  • Stocks continue to recover ground as market sentiment rises.
  • Earlier recession fears have eased following upbeat US data.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) climbed more than 150 points in quiet trading on Monday, as U.S. stock indexes broadly gained ground. Investors have rediscovered their appetite for risk after a recent broad-based decline, sparked by fresh recession fears on the back of US economic data that tilted to the downside faster than many expected. However, a rebound at the bottom of a recent batch of US numbers eased investor fears and markets are broadly up once again.

Markets will now turn to fully focus on upcoming central bank keynotes as the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium gets underway later in the week. At the current cut, markets still have a fully priced September rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch tool. The odds of a double 50bps cut have narrowed to less than 25% this week, down from a two-week high of more than 70%, with rates traders betting on a more reasonable 25bps cut on 18 September.

Dow Jones News

Most of the Dow Jones index is up on Monday, with more than two-thirds of the stock chart climbing into the green. McDonald’s Corp. ( MCD ) is gaining ground, climbing 3.4% to $288.00 per share. Intel Corp. ( INTC ) followed, up 2.5% to $21.39 a share.

On the downside, Boeing Corp. ( BA ) fell a full percent to $178.15 a share as the aerospace company struggles to return value to investors, Apple Inc. ( AAPL ) fell -0.7% to $224.50 per share.

Dow Jones Price Forecast

The Dow Jones is on course for a fifth consecutive bullish candle on Monday, hitting an intraday high of 40,907.54, while the main stock index continues to rise after hitting a near-term low of 38,382.90 in recent weeks.

The DJIA is slowly making its way back to the all-time highs set in July at 31,371.38, and bullish momentum remains the flavor of the week as investors come back to ground. A technical level price is at the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 39,728.00.

Dow Jones Daily Chart

Dow Jones FAQ

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, one of the world’s oldest stock indices, is compiled from the 30 most traded US stocks. The index is weighted by price rather than capitalization. It is calculated by summing the prices of the constituent shares and dividing them by a factor, currently 0.152. The index was founded by Charles Dow, who also founded the Wall Street Journal. In subsequent years, it has been criticized for not being broadly representative enough, as it only tracks 30 conglomerates, unlike broader indices such as the S&P 500.

Many different factors determine the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The aggregate performance of the component companies revealed in the company’s quarterly earnings reports is the main one. US and global macroeconomic data also contribute as they impact investor sentiment. The level of interest rates, set by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the DJIA because it affects the cost of credit, on which many corporations depend heavily. Therefore, inflation can be a major factor as well as other indicators influencing the Fed’s decisions.

The Dow Theory is a method of identifying the primary trend of the stock market developed by Charles Dow. A key step is to compare the direction of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) and only watch for trends where both are moving in the same direction. Volume is a confirmation criterion. The theory uses peak and trough elements of analysis. Dow’s theory posits three phases of a trend: accumulation, when the smart money starts buying or selling; public participation, when the general public joins in; and distribution, when the smart money comes out.

There are several ways to trade the DJIA. One is the use of ETFs that allow investors to trade the DJIA as a single security, rather than having to buy shares in all 30 constituent companies. A prime example is the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA). DJIA futures allow traders to speculate on the future value of the index, and Options provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the index at a predetermined price in the future. Mutual funds allow investors to buy one share of a diversified portfolio of DJIA stocks, thereby providing exposure to the overall index.

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