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XAG/USD retreats from $29.50 as Middle East tensions ease

  • The price of silver is falling due to the easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
  • US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced that Israel had agreed to a proposed ceasefire in Gaza.
  • Fed President Neel Kashkari has indicated that talk of potential US interest rate cuts in September is warranted.

The price of silver (XAG/USD) snaps its three-day winning streak, trading around $29.30 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Tuesday. Silver-haven’s downside could be attributed to the easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

On Monday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced that Israel had agreed to a proposal to resolve issues delaying the Gaza ceasefire and called on Hamas to follow suit. However, senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan criticized Blinken’s statement that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had accepted an updated proposal. Hamdan argued that it “raises many ambiguities” and “is not what was presented to us nor what we agreed upon”.

Hamdan also said that Hamas had already informed mediators that it was not seeking new negotiations, but rather an agreement on a mechanism to implement the ceasefire, according to Reuters.

Traders are eagerly awaiting Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole on Friday, looking for clues about the potential size of the US central bank’s expected interest rate cut in September. Meanwhile, markets continue to price in a total of 100 basis points of rate cuts for this year. Lower interest rates could boost demand for non-yielding assets such as silver.

On Monday, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari suggested it would be appropriate to consider potential US interest rate cuts in September, citing concerns about a weakening labor market, according to Reuters.

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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