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XAG/USD bulls have the upper hand while above the $29.20 confluence

  • Silver is lower on Thursday, although it is holding above the $29.20 confluence hurdle.
  • The technical setup favors the bulls and supports the prospect of some short buying.
  • A sustained move beyond the $30.00 mark will set the stage for another bullish move.

Silver (XAG/USD) is attracting some sellers during the Asian session on Thursday and reversing much of the positive move from the previous day. However, the white metal manages to hold above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and is currently trading at the midpoint of $29.00, down 0.40% for the day.

The 50-day SMA, currently pinned near the $29.20 region, coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the July-August decline and should act as a key point for XAG/USD. Against the backdrop of Tuesday’s failure near the psychological $30.00 level, a convincing break below that confluence could prompt some technical selling and pave the way for deeper losses.

XAG/USD could then weaken further below the $29.00 round figure to test the 38.2% Fibo. level support near the $28.55 region. Some further selling has the potential to pull the white metal towards the $28.00 level, below which the downward trajectory could extend further towards the $27.25 region on its way to the next relevant support near the figure mark $27.00 rounds.

That said, the oscillators on the daily chart have gained positive traction and are far from overbought. This supports the prospects for some bearish buying at lower levels and calls for some caution for bear traders. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for sustained strength beyond the $30.00 mark before positioning for any significant upside moves.

Further move up will set the stage for a move towards the $30.55-$30.60 area or 78.6% Fibo. level, above which XAG/USD could aim to recover the $31.00 mark. XAG/USD could then further accelerate the momentum towards the $31.30-$31.40 supply area en route to the July swing high around the $31.75 region, the $32.00 level and the $32.50 area or the YTD high reached in May.

Silver daily chart

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Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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