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XAG/USD draws some buyers above $29.00, focus on US GDP data

  • The price of silver is gaining traction around $29.45 in the first European session on Thursday, up 1.03% on the day.
  • Further decline in the USD, continued tensions in the Middle East support the price of silver.
  • Investors await Thursday’s second estimate of second-quarter US GDP growth numbers ahead of PCE inflation data.

The price of silver (XAG/USD) rises to near $29.45 during the European session on Thursday. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a weaker US dollar (USD) amid expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) are providing some support to the white metal.

Anticipation that the Fed will begin easing monetary policy in September is putting some selling pressure on the greenback and is supported by the USD silver price as it makes silver cheaper for most buyers. Futures markets have fully priced in a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in September, while the odds of a deeper rate cut are 36.5%, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.

In addition, tensions in the Middle East remain high, and market players will closely monitor developments surrounding the conflicts in Israel and Hezbollah. Any sign of escalation could boost the white metal.

On the other hand, a firmer USD could drag the white metal lower. The release of annualized US gross domestic product (GDP) on Thursday and the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) on Friday could provide some clues about the trajectory of US interest rates. In the second estimate, the US economy for the second quarter is expected to grow by 2.8%, while the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE, is expected to rise from 2.6% to 2 .7% per year in July.

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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