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XAG/USD rises to near $29.50 due to lower opportunity cost

  • The price of silver is gaining ground as the increasing chance of a Fed rate cut lowers the opportunity cost of owning bullion assets.
  • Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic suggested it might be “time to move” on rate cuts.
  • The Israeli army and the Palestinian militant group Hamas have agreed to three-day pauses in fighting.

The price of silver (XAG/USD) extended its gains for a second straight day, trading around $29.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Friday. Non-yielding silver is benefiting from a lower opportunity cost as expectations grow for a US Federal Reserve rate cut in September.

Investors await July’s US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, scheduled for release later in the North American session, looking for clues about the future direction of US interest rates.

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, a prominent FOMC hawk, signaled on Thursday that it may be “time to move” on rate cuts because of further declines in inflation and a higher-than-expected unemployment rate. However, he wants to wait for confirmation from the next monthly jobs report and two inflation reports before the Fed’s September meeting.

On the geopolitical front, the refuge bullion could face a challenge as the Israeli military and Palestinian militant group Hamas agreed to end three days of fighting in Gaza. The breaks are meant to allow the first round of vaccinations for 640,000 children against polio, according to a senior WHO official, Reuters reported on Thursday.

In other news reported by Reuters, Israeli troops killed a local commander of the Iran-backed Islamic Jihad movement and four other militants in the West Bank on Thursday. The incident occurred during one of the largest attacks on Israeli-occupied territory in recent months, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict.

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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