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AGI is either soon or decades away, depending on your definition

Investors are pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into the AI ​​industry right now, and much of it is going toward the development of a still-theoretical technology: artificial general intelligence.

OpenAI, maker of the popular chatbot ChatGPT, has made the creation of AGI a top priority. Its Big Tech competitors, Google, Meta and Microsoft, are also dedicating their top researchers to the same goal.

But not all definitions of AGI are the same, leading to some confusion about how close the industry is to inventing this world-changing technology.

In general, AGI is simply an advanced AI that can reason like humans. For some, it’s more than that. Ian Hogarth, co-author of the year The “State of AI” report. and one investor, defined it as a “God-like AI”. Tom Everitt, an AGI safety researcher at DeepMind, described AGIs as AI systems that can solve tasks in ways that are not limited to how they are trained.

Andrew Ng, a leading artificial intelligence researcher, said in a recent interview with Techsauce that AGI should be able to perform “any intellectual task that a human can do.” They should be able to learn to drive a car, fly a plane or write a Ph.D. thesis.

According to Ng, however, we’re still decades away from seeing anything close to that.

“I hope we get there in our lifetime, but I’m not sure,” he said, adding that companies that claim AGI is imminent are using dubious definitions of the term. “Some companies use non-standardized definitions of AGI, and if you redefine AGI to be a lower bar, then of course we could get there in 1 or 2 years.”

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