CSU meteorologists predict quiet hurricane activity will begin in September

The first two weeks of September are expected to be quiet for Atlantic hurricane activity, according to experts at Colorado State University.

The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project, which has been forecasting the Atlantic hurricane season for more than 40 years, recently said in an update that above-average activity for 2024, but current environmental conditions look unfavorable for hurricane activity over the next two weeks.

The team did not make any adjustments to the seasonal forecast in the September 3 update. CSU continues to call for 23 named storms, 12 hurricanes and six major hurricanes of Category 3 or greater. So far there have been five named storms, three hurricanes (Beryl, Debby and Ernesto) and one major hurricane (Beryl).

CSU acknowledged the National Hurricane Center’s monitoring of three areas in the Atlantic, but said none will develop into hurricanes. In fact, the Atlantic has entered a “quiet period” and has not produced any hurricanes since Ernesto on August 12. Only one other time (1968) in the satellite era did the Atlantic produce no named storms between Aug. 13 and Sept. 3, CSU said.

“This rather pronounced period is particularly remarkable given that it coincides with the time of year when the Atlantic becomes climatologically very busy,” CSU added.

AccuWeather recently forecast six to 10 named storms to form in the Atlantic between August 27 and September 30.

Photo: This image provided by NASA shows Hurricane Beryl from the International Space Station on Sunday, July 1, 2024. (NASA via AP)

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Catastrophe Natural disasters Hurricane