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XAG/USD bounces back above $28.00, remains sideways

  • XAG/USD climbs to $28.21, recovering the key $28.00 level after US JOLTS data suggests rate cuts.
  • Momentum remains steady despite a bullish RSI with key resistance at the 100-DMA of $29.14.
  • Sellers need to get below $28.00 to test support at $27.71 and the 200-DMA at $26.59.

The price of silver is recovering in late trading on Wednesday, gaining over 0.74% and trading at $28.21 at the time of writing.

US data has ensured that the labor market is cooling, as the latest US JOLTS report shows. That raised the odds for a 50 basis point interest rate cut at the Fed’s next meeting in two weeks. The gray metal rose while US yields fell and undermined the greenback. This allowed the precious metal to recover the $28.00 figure.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Insights

XAg/USD continues to hover around $28.00, but has reached a daily close above the latter. Momentum remains steady, even though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bullish, but the slope is almost horizontal, suggesting that neither buyers nor sellers are in control.

Key technical indicators such as the 50- and 100-day moving averages (DMAs) above the price action suggest that Silver could test lower prices in the near term. However, sellers need to release key support levels on the way south.

They need to drag XAG/USD prices below the $28.00 mark, followed by the September 3 low of $27.71. Further weakness will sponsor a decline towards the August 14 low of $27.18, followed by the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $26.59.

Instead, buyers need to recover the 100-DMA at $29.14 if they want to regain control.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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