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XAG/USD is consolidating below the $29.00/100 period SMA ahead of the NFP

  • Silver is consolidating its recovery gains from a multi-week low hit over the past two days.
  • The overnight failure near the 100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart calls for caution for bulls.
  • A sustained move above the $29.00 level is required to support the prospects for further gains.

Silver (XAG/USD) is oscillating in a narrow trading band around the $28.80 region during the Asian session on Friday and remains below the weekly peak reached the previous day. Traders now seem reluctant and prefer to wait for the release of the crucial US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before making new directional bets.

Looking at the bigger picture, the overnight failure to find support above the $29.00 level or the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart calls for some caution for bullish traders. Furthermore, the neutral oscillators on the daily chart make it prudent to wait for sustained strength beyond the mentioned handle before positioning for an extension of XAG/USD’s recent rebound from the $27.70 area or a near three-week low set Tuesday.

Further upward movement has the potential to lift the white metal further towards the intermediate hurdle of $29.65 en route to the psychological threshold of $30.00. Some further buying beyond the August monthly high around the $30.20 region will be seen as a new trigger for the bulls and pave the way for a new appreciation move. XAG/USD could then climb to the horizontal resistance at $30.80 before looking to recover the $31.00 round-digit mark.

On the other hand, the immediate support is fixed near the $28.50 region, below which the commodity could accelerate the slide towards the $28.00 threshold. This is followed by the weekly threshold around the $27.70 area. A convincing break below the latter could trigger aggressive technical selling and pull XAG/USD to the intermediate support at $27.20 en route to the $27.00 round figure and the next relevant support near the $26.60 area .

Silver 4 hour chart

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Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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