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XAG/USD is holding steady near the weekly high, just below the mid-$28.00 level

  • Silver draws buyers for the third day in a row and hits a fresh weekly top on Wednesday.
  • The lack of any further buying and the mixed technical oscillators warrant caution for the bulls.
  • Sustained strength beyond the $29.00 level is needed to support the prospects for further gains.

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading in a slight uptrend for the third day in a row on Wednesday, although it lacks bullish conviction and is currently placed around the $28.45 region, just below the weekly high reached during the Asian session.

From a technical perspective, the white metal is holding above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-September slide and looking to build on momentum beyond the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. Given that the oscillators on the said chart have just started to gain positive traction, although they have yet to confirm an uptrend on the daily chart. Therefore, XAG/USD is more likely to face stiff resistance near the $28.95-$29.00 confluence – comprising the 50% Fibo. level and 100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart.

Sustained strength beyond, however, will be seen as a new trigger for bullish traders and pave the way for a significant upside move. Further upside has the potential to lift XAG/USD beyond the 61.8% Fibo. resistance level near the $29.25 region towards the $29.65 area or 78.6% Fibo. level. The momentum could extend further towards the recovery of the psychological $30.00 mark, above which the bulls could look to trigger the August monthly swing high around the $30.20 area.

On the other hand, the $28.25 region or 23.6% Fibo. it is likely to protect the downside immediately before the $28.00 mark. A convincing break below could leave XAG/USD vulnerable to further weakness below the $27.70-$27.65 area towards the next relevant support near the $27.20 region en route to the threshold of $27.00. Some further selling could then expose August’s monthly swing around the $26.40-$26.35 area before the white metal finally drops to the $26.00 round figure.

Silver 4 hour chart

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Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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