close
close
migores1

XAG/USD rises as Fed rate cut spurs rally towards $31.00

  • The price of silver is breaking a key resistance trend line with a move towards $31.00 after strong gains.
  • The next resistance levels include the July 11 high at $31.75 and the May 29 peak at $32.29, with the YTD high at $32.51 on the horizon.
  • A bearish reversal would require a break below the September 18 low of $29.71, with additional support at the 100-DMA of $29.43.

Silver rallied sharply during Thursday’s session in North America, posting solid gains of more than 2 percent to close at around $30.77. Investors, seeking risk and ditching the US dollar, cheered the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut.

Market sentiment remains upbeat, with Wall Street’s main index, the S&P 500, climbing to a record high. Meanwhile, the precious metals segment, led by gold and silver, rose sharply, while the greenback fell more than 0.30%, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY) at 100.63.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Insights

The price of silver is threatening to decisively break a downward resistance trend line drawn from the May 20 highs, breaking through $30.67. If this trendline is decisively broken, it will open the way to the $31.00 challenge.

In this outcome, the next resistance in XAG/USD will be the July 11 high at $31.75, followed by the May 29 high at $32.29. Next, the year-to-date (YTD) high at $32.51 will be up for grabs.

Conversely, bears should push the gray metal price below the September 18 low of $29.71 before testing the 100-day moving average (DMA) at $29.43.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

Related Articles

Back to top button