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XAG/USD is holding its position near $31.00 near two-month highs

  • The price of silver appreciates as the non-yielding asset becomes more attractive after the Fed’s 50 basis point rate cut.
  • The BoE, PBoC and BoJ decided to keep interest rates unchanged in September.
  • Silver Shelter receives support from escalating tensions in the Middle East, as Israeli warplanes have carried out heavy strikes in southern Lebanon.

The price of silver (XAG/USD) is extending its gains for a second straight day, trading around $31.10 per troy ounce on Friday. Non-yielding silver is getting support following a 50 basis point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on Wednesday.

In addition, rising expectations for further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve by the end of 2024 are putting pressure on silver demand. The latest point projections indicate a gradual easing cycle, with the median rate for 2024 revised down to 4.375% from the previous forecast of 5.125% in June.

As a commodity asset with no yield, the precious metal becomes more attractive to investors in a lower interest rate environment as the opportunity cost of owning it falls. This can make Silver potentially offer better returns compared to other assets.

Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) decided to keep its main one-year lending rate (LPR) unchanged at 3.35%, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its interest rate at 0 on Friday ,15%. In addition, on Thursday, the Bank of England (BoE) opted to keep its interest rate at 5%, as expected.

The call for safe haven for Silver was fueled by rising tensions in the Middle East, as Israeli warplanes carried out the most intense strikes in southern Lebanon in nearly a year of conflict late on Thursday. The White House said a diplomatic solution was both feasible and urgent, while Britain called for an immediate ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, according to Reuters.

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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