What happens if Arsenal and Manchester City finish level on points?

For the tenth time, the race for the Premier League title goes down to the last day. So who will be celebrating this weekend, Manchester City or Arsenal fans?

If Manchester City beat West Ham at home on Sunday 19 May at 16:00 BST, they would go two points clear at the top and become the first team to win four consecutive Premier League titles.

However, if Arsenal beat Everton at the Emirates Stadium in a simultaneous match and City lose, Arsenal will win the Championship.

If Arsenal lose, City will win the championship. The Gunners are the underdogs as no team has ever won the Premier League title on the final day of play after finishing second.

What do the stats say?: Do Arsenal have a chance?

Opta predict that City are still the favorites with an 84% chance of winning the Premier League, while Arsenal’s chances are 16%.

If City had lost to Tottenham on Tuesday, the Gunners would have had an 81% chance of winning the Championship and a 75% chance if the game had ended in a draw.

According to Nielsen’s head of Gracenote analytics Simon Gleave, Manchester City have an 83.5% chance of winning the title, compared to Arsenal’s 16.5%.

Before Manchester City’s 2-0 win over Tottenham, City led Arsenal in chances taken, 60% to 40%.

Gleave added: “Arsenal’s incredible run of 15 wins in 17 games since the start of the year would probably have been enough to win the league in most seasons, but Manchester City have proved formidable opponents in the title race and have won 15 from 18 matches. same period.”

What happens if Arsenal and Manchester City finish level on points?

If there is a tie, the league is determined by goal difference, followed by goals scored, most points gained in head-to-head play and most away goals scored in the record.

Arsenal’s goal difference of 61 is superior to City’s goal difference of 60.

If the two clubs finish tied, it would mean City would have to draw, maintaining their current goal difference, and Arsenal would have to triumph, adding to their already impressive total.

On the final day of the season, don’t be too shocked if there are additional twists and turns