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XAG/USD consolidates below $32.00, bullish trend remains

  • Silver is failing to build on the modest overnight rebound from near the $31.00 midpoint.
  • The technical setup supports the extension prospects of the recent upward trajectory.
  • Any significant decline could still be seen as a buying opportunity and remains limited.

Silver (XAG/USD) is struggling to gain any meaningful traction and is oscillating in a narrow trading band around the $31.80-$31.85 region during the Asian session on Thursday. Meanwhile, the white metal remains within striking distance of a four-month peak reached on Wednesday and looks poised to extend the upward trajectory seen over the past two weeks or so.

From a technical perspective, sustained overnight strength beyond the $31.40-$31.45 supply area is coming off the back of the recent breakout through short-term trendline bearish resistance. This, coupled with the fact that the oscillators on the daily chart are comfortably in positive territory and still far from overbought, validates the bullish outlook and suggests that the path of least resistance for XAG/USD is up .

Therefore, a further move beyond the $32.00 mark towards a retest of a decade high around the mid-point of $32.00 reached in May seems a distinct possibility. Some further buying should pave the way for a further appreciation move towards conquering the $33.00 mark for the first time since December 2012.

On the other hand, weakness below the overnight swing low around the $31.60-$31.55 region is likely to find some support near the $31.25 area before the 31.00 mark USD. A convincing break below the latter could pull XAG/USD into the $30.60-$30.55 area. The decline could extend further towards the psychological $30.00 threshold before the white metal breaks down into the $29.70-$29.65 area or the trendline resistance break point, now turned into support.

The latter now coincides with the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and should act as a key pivotal point, which, if decisively broken, will suggest that XAG/USD has topped out in the near term and pave the way for a deeper correction. decline.

Silver daily chart

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Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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