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WTI remains under pressure below $71.50 as Saudi Arabia pledges to increase oil output.

  • WTI is trading in negative territory for a third straight day, near $67.00 in the Asian session on Friday.
  • The prospect of higher oil production is pulling WTI prices lower.
  • Fresh Chinese stimulus plans help limit WTI losses.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark US crude, is trading around $71.30 on Friday. WTI price falls as Saudi Arabia pledges to continue ramping up production later this year.

Saudi Arabia is ready to ditch the unofficial price of $100 a barrel for crude oil as it prepares to increase production, even if the move results in a prolonged period of low oil prices, according to the Financial Times.

In addition, expectations that Libya’s oil output will rise after rival political factions agreed to appoint a new central bank governor on Thursday are putting selling pressure on the WTI price. “The prospect of additional supply from Libya and Saudi Arabia has been the main driver behind the latest weakness,” said Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen.

On the other hand, black gold’s downside could be limited as Chinese officials announced a new stimulus package earlier this week. The prospect of higher demand from China due to the recent measures could lift the price of WTI, as China is the world’s largest crude oil importer and second largest consumer.

On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) cut the seven-day repo rate to 1.5% from 1.7% on Friday. In addition, China’s central bank announced that it will cut by 50 basis points (bps) the amount of the required reserve ratio (RRR), the minimum capital required for banks to hold in reserve.

Frequently asked questions about WTI oil

WTI Oil is a type of crude oil sold on international markets. WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types, including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” due to its relatively low gravity and sulfur content, respectively. It is considered a high quality oil that is easy to refine. It originates in the United States and is distributed through the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a reference point for the oil market and the price of WTI is frequently quoted in the media.

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of the WTI oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars and sanctions can disrupt supply and affect prices. Decisions by OPEC, a group of major oil-producing countries, is another key price driver. The value of the US dollar influences the price of WTI crude oil because oil is predominantly traded in US dollars, so a weaker US dollar can make oil more affordable and vice versa.

The weekly oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) influence the price of WTI oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuations in supply and demand. If the data shows a decline in inventories, it may indicate an increase in demand, leading to higher oil prices. Higher inventories may reflect increased supply, pushing prices down. The API report is published every Tuesday and the EIA the following day. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. EIM data is considered more reliable because it is a government agency.

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 13 oil-producing nations that collectively decide production quotas for member countries when they meet twice a year. Their decisions often affect WTI oil prices. When OPEC decides to cut quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten additional non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

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