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XAG/USD pars intraday losses, just below the $32.00 level

  • Silver is down and retreating further from a 12-year peak hit on Thursday.
  • The setup favors the bulls and warrants caution before positioning for deeper losses.
  • Any significant drop is likely to attract some buying and remain limited.

Silver (XAG/USD) is extending the modest overnight pullback from the $32.70 area, or the highest level since December 2012, and remains under some selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday. The white metal, however, is attracting some buyers at lower levels and is currently trading just below the $32.00 mark, down 0.25% on the day.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart remain comfortably in positive territory and are still far from overbought territory. This, along with the recent breakout through near-term downside resistance, favors bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for XAG/USD is to the upside. That said, Thursday’s failure to consolidate momentum beyond the $32.45-$32.50 region calls for some caution.

The aforementioned area could continue to act as an immediate obstacle ahead of the overnight swing high around the $32.70 area. Some further buying should pave the way for a move towards retrieving the $33.00 threshold and lift XAG/USD further towards the $33.45 intermediate hurdle en route to the December 2012 high around the 33 region $.85.

On the other hand, the $31.60-$31.55 area seems to have now emerged as an immediate support. Any further decline could be seen as a buying opportunity around the $31.25 area and remains capped near the $31.00 level. A convincing break below the latter could pull XAG/USD into the $30.60-$30.55 area on its way to the $30.00 psychological mark and the $29.70-$29.65 area or breakeven point. break of downtrend line resistance, now turned into support.

The latter now coincides with the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and should act as a key pivotal point. Failure to defend the mentioned support levels will suggest that XAG/USD has exceeded and pave the way for a significant near-term corrective decline.

Silver daily chart

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Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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