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Gold is below record levels, set for the best quarter in eight years | commodities

Gold prices on Monday were just below last week’s record high, with bullion set for its best quarter in eight years following this month’s US interest rate cut and expectations of another jumbo cut in November.

Spot gold fell 0.2 percent to $2,653.00 an ounce as of 0817 GMT as traders locked in profits after last week’s rally. U.S. gold futures rose 0.2 percent to $2,674.40.

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Bullion is up more than 14% so far this quarter, its best quarterly performance since January 2016.

On a monthly basis, gold rose 6% in September after hitting a peak of $2,685.42 last Thursday on the back of a 50 basis point cut by the US Federal Reserve, China’s stimulus measures and escalating conflicts from the Middle East.

“Gold still looks poised for potential $2,700 if labor data this week aligns with the potential for another 75 basis points of Fed easing by the end of the year,” said Tim Waterer, chief analyst at market at KCM Trade.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Governor Michelle Bowman are expected to deliver speeches later in the day that could provide insight into the policy outlook.

“The market is expecting a risk event today, especially a bunch of Federal Reserve officials speaking,” said Kelvin Wong, OANDA’s senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.

This week’s data lineup includes the US ADP employment numbers and non-farm payrolls, which could provide more clarity on the state of the US labor market.

Data on Friday showed the US economy retained some of its solid momentum in the third quarter as inflationary pressures continued to ease. That fueled expectations of another outsized interest rate cut at the Fed’s November policy meeting.

Zero yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment in a low interest environment and during geopolitical turmoil.

Israel launched airstrikes on Sunday against Yemen’s Houthi militia and dozens of Hezbollah targets in Lebanon.

Among other metals, spot silver was down 0.5 percent at $31.47 an ounce after hitting a 12-year high last Thursday and is set for an 8 percent quarterly gain, its fourth straight gain.

Platinum was down 0.8% at $992.0. Palladium gained 0.5% to $1,016.00 and was on track for a quarterly gain.

(Only the title and image of this report may have been redesigned by Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is automatically generated from a syndicated feed.)

First publication: September 30, 2024 | 15:40 IST

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