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XAG/USD depreciates near $31.50, downside appears limited

  • The price of silver is losing ground as recent strong US labor data could increase the chances of another top rate cut by the Fed.
  • Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that the fight against inflation may not be over as risks persist.
  • Silver could be regaining ground amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The price of silver (XAG/USD) is retracing its gains of the past two sessions, trading around $31.60 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Thursday. This silver price downside could be attributed to recent strong US labor data, which could increase the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) offering another rate cut in November. Lower interest rates lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver, making it more attractive to investors.

ADP US Employment Change reported an increase of 143,000 jobs in September, beating the anticipated 120,000 jobs. In addition, annual salary increased by 4.7% year-over-year. The total number of jobs added in August was revised up from 99,000 to 103,000. This report indicates that the labor market is in better shape than previously perceived at the start of the third quarter.

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin on Wednesday addressed the Fed’s recent rate actions, warning that the fight against inflation may not be over as risks persist. Barkin noted that September’s 50 basis point rate cut was justified because rates had become “out of sync” with falling inflation while the unemployment rate was close to its sustainable level.

However, the downside to safe-haven assets such as silver could be limited following rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Israel Broadcasting Authority (IBA) reported that Israel’s security cabinet has decided to issue a firm response to the recent Iranian attack. On Tuesday evening, Iran launched more than 200 ballistic missiles and drone strikes on Israel.

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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