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WTI pars some modest intraday losses, down slightly around $73.75 in the region

  • WTI starts the new week on a weaker note amid some gains, albeit unsuccessful.
  • Tensions in the Middle East, along with optimism about recovering demand, are supporting crude oil prices.
  • Traders are now looking for a boost at Fedpseak, although the focus remains on the Israel-Hamas war.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US crude oil prices are starting the new week on a weaker note and are pulling away from a five-month peak – levels beyond the psychological $75.00 threshold reached on Friday. The commodity, however, pared some of the modest losses of the Asian session and is currently trading in the $73.75-$73.80 region, down 0.35% for the day.

The intraday decline has no obvious fundamental catalyst and could be attributed to some profit-taking, especially after last week’s strong gains – marking the biggest in over a year. Meanwhile, the Israel-Hamas war has shown little sign of cooling, which, along with reports that Israel is considering attacking Iran’s oil production facilities, is fueling concerns about supply disruptions in the Middle East. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for crude oil prices.

In addition, upbeat US monthly employment data released on Friday raised hopes that the world’s largest economy will be more resilient than initially feared. Beyond that, they hope China’s recent stimulus bonanza will ignite a lasting recovery and boost fuel demand in the world’s biggest oil importer. This is proving to be a key factor acting as a tailwind for crude oil prices and warrants caution for traders in the baj or positioning for any significant slippage.

Moving forward, there is no relevant economic data on market movement due out on Monday from the US. That said, speeches by influential FOMC members will boost USD demand and provide some impetus to USD-denominated commodities, including crude oil prices. Apart from this, geopolitical developments surrounding the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East should help produce short-term trading opportunities around the black liquid.

Frequently asked questions about WTI oil

WTI Oil is a type of crude oil sold on international markets. WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types, including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” due to its relatively low gravity and sulfur content, respectively. It is considered a high quality oil that is easy to refine. It originates in the United States and is distributed through the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a reference point for the oil market and the price of WTI is frequently quoted in the media.

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of the WTI oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars and sanctions can disrupt supply and affect prices. Decisions by OPEC, a group of major oil-producing countries, is another key price driver. The value of the US dollar influences the price of WTI crude oil because oil is predominantly traded in US dollars, so a weaker US dollar can make oil more affordable and vice versa.

The weekly oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) influence the price of WTI oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuations in supply and demand. If the data shows a decline in inventories, it may indicate an increase in demand, leading to higher oil prices. Higher inventories may reflect increased supply, pushing prices down. The API report is published every Tuesday and the EIA the following day. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. EIM data is considered more reliable because it is a government agency.

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 oil-producing nations that collectively decide production quotas for member countries in meetings twice a year. Their decisions often affect WTI oil prices. When OPEC decides to cut quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten additional non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

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