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XAG/USD bulls should wait for a close above the $32.00 mark

  • Silver is retreating further from the December 2012 high reached on Friday.
  • Recent repeated failures to find support above $32.00 warrant caution for bulls.
  • Any further slide to $31.65 could be seen as a buying opportunity and remains limited.

Silver (XAG/USD) starts the new week on a weaker note and extends Friday’s late pullback from near the $33.00 level, or the high since December 2012. The white metal remains depressed around the 32.00 round USD in the first half of the year. of the European session, although the mixed technical setup calls for some caution before placing aggressive bear bets.

The recent repeated failures to find support above the $32.00 mark constitute the formation of a multi-top bear pattern on the daily chart. That said, the oscillators on the daily chart remain comfortably in positive territory and support the prospects for some bearish buying near the $31.65 area. This should cap XAG/USD’s downside near the $31.40-$31.35 horizontal support.

Further decline has the potential to pull the commodity towards the $31.00 level. Some further selling below last week’s lows around the $30.90-$30.85 area could see the vulnerable XAG/USD accelerate the slide further towards the $30.40-30.35 intermediate support USD on the way to the psychological mark of $30.00 and the simple 50-day move. Average (SMA), around the $29.55 area.

Meanwhile, bulls need to wait for acceptance above the $32.00 level and sustained strength beyond the $32.25 supply area before positioning for an extension of a two-month-old uptrend. XAG/USD could then make another attempt to capture the $33.00 round figure before climbing further towards the December 2012 swing high around the $33.85 region.

Silver daily chart

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Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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