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XAG/USD sinks below $32.00 on rising US yields

  • Silver fell 1.60% to trade at $31.67 as rising US yields dampened demand for the precious metal.
  • The technical outlook suggests a possible “double top” formation, with the RSI headed to another downside.
  • Key support is at $31.50, with potential targets at the September 30 low of $30.89 and the 100-DMA at $29.74.
  • A break above $32.00 could lead to a test of the YTD high at $32.95.

The price of silver reversed course on Monday, falling more than 1.60% as rising US yields hurt appetite for the precious metal, which failed to hang on to $32.00 a troy ounce. At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading at $31.67 after hitting a daily high of $32.33.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Insights

The price of silver remains bullish, although it appears to be forming a “double top” chart pattern, which could open the door for a reversal.

On the momentum side, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is targeting a decline towards its neutral line, which could lead to a further decline.

If XAG/USD breaks below $31.50, the next target for sellers will be the September 30 cycle expiration at $30.89. Further weakness will push prices towards the 100-day moving average (DMA) at $29.74, followed by the 50-DMA at $29.49.

Conversely, if the bulls push XAG/USD above $32.00, the year-to-date (YTD) high could be tested at $32.95.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may view a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or that gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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