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XAG/USD lowers and remains above $30.00

  • Silver remains above $30.12 despite losses of more than 0.30%, with downside risks looming after Tuesday’s sharp 3.28% drop.
  • Momentum favors sellers, with the next key support levels at $30.12 and the psychological threshold of $30.00.
  • Buyers need to recover $30.50 to target $31.00, with a break above $31.77 needed to change the trend back up.

Silver rallied around Wednesday’s weekly lows, losing more than 0.30%, but remains above the Oct. 8 daily low of $30.12 at the end of the North American session. At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading at $30.61, supported by higher US Treasury yields following the release of the final minutes of the FOMC meeting.

Minutes showed some officials were seeking a 25 basis point rate cut at the September meeting. According to the minutes, officials agreed that the larger cut approved at the meeting should not be a sign of concern about the economic outlook or seen as a signal that the Fed is ready to cut interest rates quickly.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Insights

The price of silver halted its decline after Tuesday’s loss of more than 3.28%. While this could open the door for some consolidation, downside risks remain.

Momentum still favors sellers, according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI). That said, the path of least resistance in the short term is down.

The next support of XAG/USD will be $30.12. Once broken, sellers could challenge the $30.00 psychological figure. If breached, the confluence of the 100-day and 50-day moving averages (DMA) would rise to $29.73 and $29.53, respectively.

Conversely, if XAG/USD buyers move in and push prices above $30.50, they could lift the price of the gray metal to $31.00. However, to change the trend to the upside, it needs to break the $31.77 peak of October 8.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

Frequently asked questions about silver

Silver is a highly traded precious metal among investors. It has historically been used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Although less popular than gold, traders can turn to silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during periods of high inflation. Investors can buy physical silver, in coins or bullion, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can cause the price of silver to escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than gold. As a non-yielding asset, silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its movements also depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, as the asset is valued in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep silver prices at bay, while a weaker dollar is likely to propel prices higher. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – silver is much more abundant than gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, especially in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, because it has one of the highest electrical conductivity of all metals – more than copper and gold. An increase in demand can raise prices, while a decrease tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies may also contribute to price fluctuations: for the US and especially China, their large industrial sectors use silver in various processes; in India, consumer demand for the precious metal for jewelry also plays a key role in pricing.

Silver prices tend to follow the movements of gold. When gold prices rise, silver usually follows suit, as their safe haven asset status is similar. The gold/silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of gold, can help determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that silver is undervalued or gold is overvalued. Conversely, a low ratio could suggest that gold is undervalued relative to silver.

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