Labor to take all Kirklees constituencies in general election, analysis suggests

Labor is on course to win the next general election by a landslide in Kirklees constituencies, according to recent YouGov analysis.

According to YouGov projections, Labor would have a “historic majority” of 194 seats, taking a total of 422 across the country. The analysis also suggests Labor will make gains in Yorkshire and the Humber region at the expense of the Conservatives, with the party expected to take every seat in constituencies covering the Kirklees area.

Since the last general election, the boundaries of some constituencies have changed, while some have been abolished entirely, following a review by the Boundary Commission.

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Huddersfield and Colne Valley saw minor changes, while new constituencies of Dewsbury and Batley, Spen Valley and Ossett and Denby Dale were created. The previous constituencies of Dewsbury and Batley and Spen were abandoned.

Former Batley and Spen MP Kim Leadbeater is hoping to take the new Spen Valley seat, with her nearest challenger expected to be Tory candidate Adam Gregg. YouGov projected that the seat was “likely” to go back to Labour, with Leadbeater expected to take 43.4% of the vote and Gregg, 26%.

The analysis also suggests Colne Valley MP Jason McCartney will lose his seat to Labor candidate and sitting Kirklees councilor Paul Davies. The constituency was held by McCartney from 2010-2017, and then from 2019 onwards.

Former Dewsbury MP Mark Eastwood (Con) is hoping to take Ossett and Denby Dale, but analysis suggests he will be edged out by Labour’s Jade Botterill.

Huddersfield is expected to remain a safe seat for Labour, with the party’s candidate Harpreet Uppal set to continue Labour’s hold on the city after Barry Sheerman stood down after 45 years in office. Uppal’s victory is expected to be a comfortable one, with figures predicting that she could take 56.4% of the vote.

YouGov also sees Dewsbury and Batley as a safe Labor seat, with the party believed to be winnable with their candidate, Heather Iqbal.

These projections were generated using YouGov’s MRP model, which stands for multilevel regression and post-stratification, and will be updated twice before Election Day.

The YouGov website explains: “The model, which uses survey data from nearly 60,000 respondents, is designed to tell us what would happen if a general election were held right now, with people’s voting intention (or lack of ) as it currently stands.

“It is not a forecast but is designed to provide a detailed, seat-by-seat look at the British political landscape as we head towards July 4th.”

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