Night 15 predictions, betting tips, acca, order of play and Sky Sports TV time

Darts Betting Tips: Premier League Night 14

1pt Littler to win, hit most 180 and biggest house at 5/4 (Sky Bet)

1pt Humphries to beat Cross and hit most 180 at 11/10 (Sky Bet)

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Thursday 9 May: Night 14

• TV coverage: Sky Sports (1900 GMT)
• Format: Quarter-finals, best of 11 legs
• Venue: Leeds

Michael van Gerwen vs Gerwyn Price

• Head to head: 31-15, 1 draw (TV: 23-9, 1 draw)
• 2024 PL Medium: 97.95 – 99.21
• 2024 PL 180 per leg: 0.27 – 0.32
• 2024 PL check-out percentage: 42.29% – 40.74%
• 2024 PL legs won with 100+ C/O: 11.01% – 13.63%

Gerwyn Price returns to the Premier League with absolutely nothing to play for after his injury-enforced absence last week saw him relegated with two rounds of games to play.

If the Iceman is fit and healthy, then I’d fancy him to upset the Premier League form book and get a rare win over a struggling Michael van Gerwen, who fell in the first round of both events in The Players Championship this week.

Sure, he averaged 108 during his defeat to Rob Cross in Aberdeen last Thursday, but other than that, MVG can’t produce fireworks on a regular basis and the pressure of trying to qualify for the top four won’t help things.

Price’s impressive performance stats haven’t gotten the results they deserve and even if they do in Leeds, it’s far too little too late.

Verdict: 4-6

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Luke Littler vs. Peter Wright

• Head to head: 1-0 (TV: 1-0)
• 2024 PL Medium: 99.86 – 93.48
• 2024 PL 180 per foot: 0.33 – 0.27
• 2024 PL check-out percentage: 39.29% – 33.94%
• 2024 PL legs won with 100+ C/O: 10.9% – 5.37%

To say that Luke Littler and Peter Wright have experienced contrasting seasons is the understatement of the year.

In his debut season, Nuke is flying high with 36 points, 21 match wins and four night titles, while Peter Wright’s unofficial farewell campaign couldn’t have gone much worse.

Snakebite is unlikely to be called back unless he somehow rediscovers some major winning form in the twilight stages of his career, and it’s sad to see him bow out so embarrassingly with just two match wins and a difference of -36 feet.

Wright actually gave Littler a scare in week four before missing a decider, but I don’t expect it to be close given the 17-year-old has won his last 10 matches in all competitions and continues to record media that the Scotsman. I can only dream now.

He suffered two early exits in the latest round of Players Championship action this week as Littler gave himself a well-deserved rest and it should be one-way traffic in Leeds on Thursday night.

Littler clearly has a higher rate of 180 per leg this season and I’ll throw the big checkout as well given that he will win the vast majority of the leg.

Verdict: 6-2

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Luke Humphries vs Rob Cross

• Head to head: 8-9 (TV: 4-3)
• 2024 PL Medium: 100.49 – 97.47
• 2024 PL 180 per leg: 0.35 – 0.23
• The payment percentage in 2024 PL: 40.96% – 41.20%
• 2024 PL won with 100+ C/O: 9.55% – 11.81%

Rob Cross’s outside play-off hopes are still in tatters after back-to-back runs in the last two finals, but having lost both to Luke Littler, he simply needs to go one better in Leeds to have a chance.

The tension probably came to the Premier League party far too late and if they had put in performances like this earlier in the season then they would be firmly in the mix for a top four finish.

Cross beat Luke Humphries in last week’s semi-finals as Cool Hand’s season hit another bump in the road, but overall he still has so much to be positive about and will be looking to mark his rivals again to the title.

I fancy the Leeds United fan to end Voltage’s play-off aspirations and also hit the majority of 180s given his far superior top rates per leg.

Verdict: 6-2

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Nathan Aspinall v Michael Smith

• Head to head: 11-12 (TV: 8-10)
• 2024 PL Medium: 95.75 – 96.68
• 2024 PL 180 per leg: 0.26 – 0.33
• The payment percentage in 2024 PL: 37.03% – 39.42%
• 2024 PL won by 100+ C/O: 11.67% – 12.19%

By far the most important quarter-final of the night, third-placed Nathan Aspinall takes on fifth-placed Michael Smith, with just three points separating them in the table.

As far as the Premier League is concerned, very little comes apart. them in terms of averages, points and games won, although Smith arrives at Leeds on a high after winning a German Players Championship event on Monday as Aspinall opted to rest.

Asp beat Smith in a Premier League final three weeks ago and if this duel ends up being a war of attrition under intense pressure then I’d be rooting for the Stockport ace to use all his fighting qualities to to get the job done.

Verdict: 6-4

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