Who will be my MP in… Chipping Barnet?

Millions of voters in London will go to the polls on July 4 to elect a new government. The Standard analyzes key battlefield sites in the capital. Here we turn on the spotlight:

CHIPPING BARNET

Candidates for the main parties (in alphabetical order):

Mark Durrant – Liberal Democrats

David Farbey – Green

Hamish Haddow – Reform Britain

Dan Tomlinson – Work

Theresa Villiers – Conservatives

Summary: Leafy, rich and true blue since its creation in 1974, the Chipping Barnet constituency has been represented by Theresa Villiers for two decades. The former environment secretary is back on her feet and facing her toughest fight yet.

The seat withstood Tony Blair’s New Labor surge in 1997, albeit by just 1,035 votes, while Ms Villiers’ margin of victory was a slim 1,212 last time out in 2019.

Sections: Barnet Vale, Brunswick Park, East Barnet, Friern Barnet, High Barnet, Southgate, Totteridge & Woodside, Underhill, Whetstone and Woodhouse.

Not sure if I’m in this constituency: Here’s how you can check

Impact of boundary changes: The seat absorbs just under 12% of adjoining Hendon and a small part of Finchley and Golders Green. Both areas voted Conservative in 2019, but this time they are tipped to ride the projected Labor wave.

YouGov MRP Poll Prediction: Labor projected to take 50% of the vote and win the seat from the Tories.

Standard evening view: Ms Villiers took over Chipping Barnet in 2005. Before that it was owned by Sir Sydney Chapman for 26 years, and before that by the great Tory Reginald Maudling. That history is set to be set aside on July 4, with Dan Tomlinson, a former Treasury economist, taking it up for Labour.