Who will be my MP in… Hendon?

Millions of voters in London will go to the polls on July 4 to elect a new government. The Standard analyzes key battlefield sites in the capital. Here we turn on the spotlight:

HENDON

Candidates for the main parties (in alphabetical order):

Gabrielle Bailey – Green Party

Clareine Enderby – Liberal Democrats

Ameet Jogia – conservative

Joshua Leon Pearl – Reform Britain

David Pinto-Duschinsky – Work

summary: This marginal seat has always been in the hands of the ruling party since its recreation in 1997. It was won that year by Andrew Dismore, who held it until 2010.

As Gordon Brown was ousted, Matthew Offord won the seat for the Tories by just 106 votes.

So Labor has long had its eye on this constituency.

But Offord increased its majority to 3,724 in 2015, before it fell to just over a thousand in Theresa May’s June 2017 snap election, but then extended it to 4,230 in 2019.

Unusually for a parliamentary constituency, it has an almost equal composition of Jews, just over 15 percent, and Muslims of just over 16 percent.

Area: Burnt Oak, Colindale North, Colindale South, Edgware, Hendon, Mill Hill and West Hendon.

Not sure if I’m in this constituency: Here’s how you can check

Impact of boundary changes (Thrasher and Rallings analysis): The boundary changes brought virtually no change in the political structure of this constituency.

YouGov MRP poll prediction: Labor gain from conservatives

Standard evening view: Political history suggests this seat will go back to Labour, as it has always been held by the governing party since its re-creation in 1997. It’s hard to agree with history given the state of the polls.

Click below to see more key places in London: